Galatasaray U19vs
Barcelona U19
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Youth League · 10/13/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barcelona U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Galatasaray U19 0-1 Barcelona U19
Original prediction
Barcelona U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.88 | 9.2% | 35.4% | 26.3 pts |
| Draw | 6.31 | 14.3% | 22.9% | 8.6 pts |
| Away | 1.18 | 76.5% | 41.6% | -34.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.18 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-34.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Barcelona U19
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Barcelona U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00