Benfica U19vs
Pafos U19
LIVEWorld · UEFA Youth League · 10/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Benfica U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.04 | 89.5% | 52.0% | -37.6 pts |
| Draw | 11.86 | 7.8% | 22.1% | 14.3 pts |
| Away | 35.86 | 2.6% | 25.9% | 23.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Benfica U19
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
52.0%
Benfica U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Benfica U19DWLDW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Pafos U19DLLWL
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Benfica U19Pafos U19
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.91xG1.63