GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Youth League · 10/28/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Crvena Zvezda U18 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Bravo U19 0-1 Crvena Zvezda U18

Original prediction

Crvena Zvezda U18

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home4.0522.4%35.2%12.8 pts
Draw4.4020.6%25.3%4.7 pts
Away1.5957.0%39.5%-17.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-17.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–27%

Predicted outcome

Crvena Zvezda U18

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Crvena Zvezda U18 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bravo U19LL

GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.50/4.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Crvena Zvezda U18DWWWD

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Bravo U19Crvena Zvezda U18
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.92xG1.63
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