Futbol Consultants Moraviavs
Aserri FC
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/26/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Futbol Consultants Moravia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Futbol Consultants Moravia 1-0 Aserri FC
Original prediction
Futbol Consultants Moravia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 44.0% | 38.5% | -5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.0% | 29.5% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.17 | 28.1% | 31.9% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Futbol Consultants Moravia
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Futbol Consultants Moravia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80