GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Carmelita · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Futbol Consultants Moravia are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while AD Carmelita are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Carmelita hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Carmelita holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Carmelita

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

36.4%

AD Carmelita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Futbol Consultants MoraviaDLLDW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
AD CarmelitaDLDDD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Futbol Consultants MoraviaAD Carmelita
33.3Attack66.7
33.3Defence33.3
0.0Form33.3
23.7Power45.3
1.47xG1.54
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