GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Futbol Consultants Moravia · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Futbol Consultants Moravia 0-3 AD Carmelita

Original prediction

Futbol Consultants Moravia

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8747.9%38.0%-9.9 pts
Draw3.4026.4%28.2%1.8 pts
Away3.4925.7%33.8%8.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-9.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–010%
  3. 3.0–110%

Predicted outcome

Futbol Consultants Moravia

Probability

38.0%

Model confidence

38.0%

Futbol Consultants Moravia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Futbol Consultants MoraviaWWLLL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AD CarmelitaWWDLL

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Futbol Consultants MoraviaAD Carmelita
44.4Attack59.3
63.0Defence59.3
37.0Form44.4
48.4Power53.3
1.19xG1.25
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