Fukushima Unitedvs
Mito Hollyhock
COMPLETEDJapan · J-League Cup · 9/29/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mito Hollyhock · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fukushima United 0-7 Mito Hollyhock
Original prediction
Mito Hollyhock
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.43 | 12.3% | 33.0% | 20.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.07 | 18.0% | 26.3% | 8.3 pts |
| Away | 1.31 | 69.8% | 40.7% | -29.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-29.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Mito Hollyhock
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Mito Hollyhock has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 13 · avg 2.60/2.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20