Fortaleza FCvs
Junior
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 9/20/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Junior · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fortaleza FC 1-4 Junior
Original prediction
Junior
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.75 | 33.6% | 31.5% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 29.3% | 27.0% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.49 | 37.1% | 41.5% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Junior
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Junior has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Fortaleza FCDDLDL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
JuniorLDDLD
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Fortaleza FCJunior
38.1Attack47.9
53.6Defence57.3
35.7Form49.0
44.9Power52.7
1.02xG1.25