Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
EVV · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
EVV 3-1 Halsteren
Original prediction
EVV
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 49.0% | 38.6% | -10.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.3% | 25.5% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.26 | 27.8% | 35.9% | 8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.85 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
EVV
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
EVV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EVVWLDDL
GF 8 · GA 17 · avg 1.60/3.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HalsterenDLWWD
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
EVVHalsteren
0.0Attack66.7
100.0Defence55.6
33.3Form66.7
45.3Power64.7
1.70xG1.86