Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Everton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–07%
Predicted outcome
Everton
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Everton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EvertonWWDDD
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
NewcastleWLWDW
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
EvertonNewcastle
83.3Attack66.7
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form100.0
92.8Power83.3
1.72xG1.30