Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Tokyo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ehime FC 0-2 FC Tokyo
Original prediction
FC Tokyo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.14 | 11.2% | 29.3% | 18.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.03 | 18.1% | 27.9% | 9.8 pts |
| Away | 1.29 | 70.7% | 42.8% | -27.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-27.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
FC Tokyo
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
FC Tokyo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ehime FCDWLWW
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FC TokyoWWWDW
GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Ehime FCFC Tokyo
33.3Attack41.7
100.0Defence70.8
100.0Form54.2
80.3Power55.1
1.08xG1.00