Ebbsfleet Unitedvs
Maidenhead
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ebbsfleet United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ebbsfleet United 0-0 Maidenhead, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ebbsfleet United 4-0 Maidenhead
Original prediction
Ebbsfleet United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.53 | 59.4% | 43.1% | -16.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 22.0% | 29.2% | 7.1 pts |
| Away | 4.92 | 18.5% | 27.8% | 9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.3 pts
Projected Score
Ebbsfleet United 0–0 Maidenhead
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Ebbsfleet United
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Ebbsfleet United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60