AFC Tottonvs
Torquay
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 10/27/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torquay · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AFC Totton 1-0 Torquay
Original prediction
Torquay
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.97 | 22.8% | 28.6% | 5.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.4% | 28.6% | 5.1 pts |
| Away | 1.68 | 53.8% | 42.8% | -11.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Torquay
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Torquay has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20