Tonbridge Angelsvs
Folkestone Invicta
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 10/27/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tonbridge Angels · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tonbridge Angels 2-0 Folkestone Invicta
Original prediction
Tonbridge Angels
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.4% | 41.3% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.2% | 28.2% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.80 | 32.4% | 30.5% | -1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Tonbridge Angels
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Tonbridge Angels has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00