Deportivo Pereiravs
Santa Fe
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 9/29/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santa Fe · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Pereira 0-1 Santa Fe, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Pereira 1-2 Santa Fe
Original prediction
Santa Fe
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.00 | 23.2% | 24.4% | 1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 28.3% | 29.1% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 1.91 | 48.5% | 46.5% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.1 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Pereira 0–1 Santa Fe
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Santa Fe
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Deportivo PereiraDDLLD
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Santa FeDLWLW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo PereiraSanta Fe
25.0Attack51.5
48.8Defence64.6
21.4Form51.5
34.7Power56.8
0.53xG1.54