GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 9/6/2026, 11:10:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Millonarios · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Deportivo Pereira 0-1 Millonarios, with an exact score probability of 19%.

Prediction record

Final result

Deportivo Pereira 1-1 Millonarios

Original prediction

Millonarios

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home8.5810.8%12.1%1.3 pts
Draw4.5820.3%23.1%2.8 pts
Away1.3568.8%64.7%-4.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.58 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-4.1 pts

Projected Score

Deportivo Pereira 0–1 Millonarios

Exact score probability: 19%

Predicted outcome

Millonarios

Probability

64.7%

Model confidence

64.7%

Millonarios has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo PereiraLWDDL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
MillonariosLDWDW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo PereiraMillonarios
23.6Attack50.0
48.6Defence64.1
20.8Form47.4
34.0Power54.5
0.53xG1.50
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