Deportivo Pereiravs
Independiente Medellin
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 9/4/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente Medellin · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Pereira 0-1 Independiente Medellin, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Pereira 0-3 Independiente Medellin
Original prediction
Independiente Medellin
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.94 | 18.9% | 17.0% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 24.9% | 25.5% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 1.67 | 56.2% | 57.6% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Pereira 0–1 Independiente Medellin
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Independiente Medellin
Probability
57.6%
Model confidence
57.6%
Independiente Medellin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00