Deportivo Pereiravs
Bucaramanga
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 9/13/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bucaramanga · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Pereira 0-1 Bucaramanga, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Pereira 1-3 Bucaramanga
Original prediction
Bucaramanga
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.76 | 16.5% | 14.7% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 24.9% | 26.2% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 1.62 | 58.6% | 59.1% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Pereira 0–1 Bucaramanga
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Bucaramanga
Probability
59.1%
Model confidence
59.1%
Bucaramanga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00