Deportivo Pastovs
Fortaleza FC
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 10/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Pasto · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Pasto 0-0 Fortaleza FC
Original prediction
Deportivo Pasto
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 42.8% | 39.0% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 29.3% | 30.2% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.33 | 27.9% | 30.8% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.18 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Pasto
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Deportivo Pasto has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40