GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 8/31/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Pasto · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Deportivo Pasto 1-0 Deportivo Pereira, with an exact score probability of 18%.

Prediction record

Final result

Deportivo Pasto 1-2 Deportivo Pereira

Original prediction

Deportivo Pasto

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5659.6%58.4%-1.2 pts
Draw3.7225.1%25.5%0.4 pts
Away6.0915.3%16.1%0.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-1.2 pts

Projected Score

Deportivo Pasto 1–0 Deportivo Pereira

Exact score probability: 18%

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Pasto

Probability

58.4%

Model confidence

58.4%

Deportivo Pasto has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo PastoDLLLL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo PereiraDDLWD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pereira
40.7Attack22.7
51.9Defence50.0
43.2Form18.2
47.8Power33.2
1.37xG0.61
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