Deportivo Pastovs
Alianza Valledupar
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 10/20/2026, 1:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Pasto · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Pasto 1-0 Alianza Valledupar, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Pasto 0-1 Alianza Valledupar
Original prediction
Deportivo Pasto
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 54.5% | 55.8% | 1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.7% | 25.6% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 4.93 | 18.9% | 18.6% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Pasto 1–0 Alianza Valledupar
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Pasto
Probability
55.8%
Model confidence
55.8%
Deportivo Pasto has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20