Deportivo Calivs
Águilas Doradas
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 9/28/2026, 1:10:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Cali · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Cali 1-0 Águilas Doradas, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Cali 2-0 Águilas Doradas
Original prediction
Deportivo Cali
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 53.1% | 44.5% | -8.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 27.3% | 30.3% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 4.70 | 19.6% | 25.2% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.6 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Cali 1–0 Águilas Doradas
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Cali
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Deportivo Cali has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80