Deportivo Calivs
Alianza Valledupar
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 10/3/2026, 12:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Cali · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Cali 1-0 Alianza Valledupar, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Cali 3-1 Alianza Valledupar
Original prediction
Deportivo Cali
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 63.0% | 51.2% | -11.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.97 | 23.4% | 27.8% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 6.82 | 13.6% | 20.9% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.8 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Cali 1–0 Alianza Valledupar
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Cali
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
51.2%
Deportivo Cali has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40