Deportes Tolimavs
Cucuta
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 9/1/2026, 1:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportes Tolima · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportes Tolima 1-0 Cucuta, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportes Tolima 2-1 Cucuta
Original prediction
Deportes Tolima
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 66.1% | 68.5% | 2.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.34 | 21.4% | 20.2% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 7.49 | 12.4% | 11.3% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Projected Score
Deportes Tolima 1–0 Cucuta
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Deportes Tolima
Probability
68.5%
Model confidence
68.5%
Deportes Tolima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80