Deportes Tolimavs
Chico
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 10/3/2026, 9:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportes Tolima · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportes Tolima 1-0 Chico, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportes Tolima 0-0 Chico
Original prediction
Deportes Tolima
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.32 | 70.8% | 53.8% | -17.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.80 | 19.4% | 25.9% | 6.6 pts |
| Away | 9.47 | 9.8% | 20.3% | 10.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.80 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.0 pts
Projected Score
Deportes Tolima 1–0 Chico
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Deportes Tolima
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
Deportes Tolima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20