GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 8/22/2026, 9:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportes Tolima · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Deportes Tolima are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Bucaramanga are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and deportes Tolima hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 50.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Primera A, favouring Deportes Tolima with 17.2% confidence, a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportes Tolima

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

17.2%

Deportes Tolima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportes TolimaWLWLW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
BucaramangaWDDWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Deportes TolimaBucaramanga
48.1Attack43.9
66.7Defence66.7
56.8Form42.4
58.8Power50.9
1.06xG0.78
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