Deportes Tolimavs
America de Cali
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 9/20/2026, 11:10:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportes Tolima 0-0 America de Cali, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportes Tolima 1-1 America de Cali
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 39.8% | 33.1% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 30.3% | 30.7% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.10 | 29.9% | 36.1% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.05 · Draw 2.05 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Projected Score
Deportes Tolima 0–0 America de Cali
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.7%
Model confidence
36.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Deportes TolimaLLWWL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
America de CaliLWWDW
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Deportes TolimaAmerica de Cali
44.8Attack51.1
67.7Defence72.2
55.2Form60.0
57.7Power60.8
0.79xG0.91