Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 0-1 (15%), 1-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cucuta 2-1 Llaneros
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 39.7% | 32.6% | -7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 29.8% | 30.8% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.03 | 30.6% | 36.5% | 6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.0–115%
- 3.1–114%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.8%
Model confidence
36.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CucutaLLDLW
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
LlanerosWLLDL
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
CucutaLlaneros
35.6Attack34.5
39.1Defence63.2
28.7Form41.4
37.1Power48.5
0.81xG1.19