Cucutavs
Deportivo Pereira
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 10/4/2026, 9:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cucuta · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cucuta 4-0 Deportivo Pereira
Original prediction
Cucuta
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 53.0% | 42.6% | -10.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 26.2% | 29.8% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 4.47 | 20.8% | 27.6% | 6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
Cucuta
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Cucuta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CucutaWLLDL
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Deportivo PereiraLDDLL
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CucutaDeportivo Pereira
36.7Attack25.3
40.0Defence48.3
31.1Form20.7
38.5Power34.4
1.24xG0.82