Cucutavs
Deportivo Pasto
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 9/5/2026, 11:10:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Pasto · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cucuta 2-2 Deportivo Pasto
Original prediction
Deportivo Pasto
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 45.3% | 34.6% | -10.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 29.4% | 26.5% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 3.69 | 25.3% | 38.8% | 13.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Pasto
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Deportivo Pasto has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60