Cucutavs
Atletico Nacional
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 10/20/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Nacional · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-3 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cucuta 1-0 Atletico Nacional
Original prediction
Atletico Nacional
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.38 | 21.2% | 12.1% | -9.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 24.6% | 18.3% | -6.3 pts |
| Away | 1.72 | 54.1% | 69.6% | 15.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–311%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Nacional
Probability
69.6%
Model confidence
69.6%
Atletico Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00