CS Uruguayvs
Santa Ana
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/10/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santa Ana · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: CS Uruguay 0-1 Santa Ana, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
CS Uruguay 0-5 Santa Ana
Original prediction
Santa Ana
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.99 | 29.9% | 23.0% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.4% | 26.7% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.09 | 42.7% | 50.3% | 7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.5 pts
Projected Score
CS Uruguay 0–1 Santa Ana
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Santa Ana
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Santa Ana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CS UruguayDDLLW
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Santa AnaWWLLW
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CS UruguaySanta Ana
30.0Attack46.7
40.0Defence66.7
30.0Form70.0
35.7Power63.9
0.59xG1.68