CS Uruguayvs
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (15%), 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CS Uruguay 2-2 Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
Original prediction
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 36.0% | 23.6% | -12.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.2% | 25.4% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.43 | 36.8% | 51.0% | 14.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.29 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–215%
- 2.0–114%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40