CS Uruguayvs
Guadalupe FC
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/24/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guadalupe FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CS Uruguay 1-2 Guadalupe FC
Original prediction
Guadalupe FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.67 | 24.4% | 24.4% | 0.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.4% | 26.3% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 1.82 | 49.2% | 49.3% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.82 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Guadalupe FC
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Guadalupe FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40