Como U19vs
Manchester United U19
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Youth League · 10/21/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manchester United U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Como U19 2-1 Manchester United U19
Original prediction
Manchester United U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.81 | 32.3% | 34.2% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.3% | 25.8% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.14 | 42.4% | 40.0% | -2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Manchester United U19
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Manchester United U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00