World · UEFA Youth League · 10/28/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fiorentina U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.15 | 79.4% | 49.4% | -29.9 pts |
| Draw | 7.16 | 12.7% | 23.3% | 10.6 pts |
| Away | 11.54 | 7.9% | 27.2% | 19.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Fiorentina U19
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Fiorentina U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Fiorentina U19WLDLL
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Septemvri Sofia U19No completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
Fiorentina U19Septemvri Sofia U19
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.91xG1.63