Genk U19vs
Salzburg U19
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Youth League · 10/28/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Genk U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Genk U19 1-1 Salzburg U19
Original prediction
Genk U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.98 | 30.3% | 37.2% | 6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 22.8% | 25.9% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 1.93 | 46.8% | 37.0% | -9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.96 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Genk U19
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Genk U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20