Ciencianovs
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 9/30/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cienciano · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cienciano 1-1 Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Original prediction
Cienciano
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 63.2% | 55.9% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.45 | 20.7% | 22.0% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 5.73 | 16.1% | 22.1% | 6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.45 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Cienciano
Probability
55.9%
Model confidence
55.9%
Cienciano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 4 · GA 17 · avg 0.80/3.40