Chicovs
Once Caldas
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 9/5/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Once Caldas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Chico 0-2 Once Caldas, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Chico 2-0 Once Caldas
Original prediction
Once Caldas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.78 | 24.5% | 13.3% | -11.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.8% | 21.0% | -6.8 pts |
| Away | 1.95 | 47.6% | 65.7% | 18.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.1 pts
Projected Score
Chico 0–2 Once Caldas
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Once Caldas
Probability
65.7%
Model confidence
65.7%
Once Caldas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ChicoDDLLL
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Once CaldasWDDLD
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
ChicoOnce Caldas
23.6Attack54.3
38.9Defence60.5
26.4Form53.1
31.2Power57.3
0.57xG1.95