Chicovs
Independiente Medellin
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 9/12/2026, 11:10:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente Medellin · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Chico 0-1 Independiente Medellin, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Chico 2-1 Independiente Medellin
Original prediction
Independiente Medellin
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.31 | 21.6% | 14.5% | -7.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 27.2% | 22.6% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 1.82 | 51.2% | 62.9% | 11.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.7 pts
Projected Score
Chico 0–1 Independiente Medellin
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Independiente Medellin
Probability
62.9%
Model confidence
62.9%
Independiente Medellin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00