Chicovs
Fortaleza FC
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 8/26/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fortaleza FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Chico 0-1 Fortaleza FC, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Chico 0-0 Fortaleza FC
Original prediction
Fortaleza FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.66 | 34.8% | 22.8% | -12.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.92 | 31.7% | 27.3% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 2.77 | 33.5% | 49.9% | 16.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.92 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.4 pts
Projected Score
Chico 0–1 Fortaleza FC
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Fortaleza FC
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Fortaleza FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ChicoLLLLD
GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Fortaleza FCLWLDD
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ChicoFortaleza FC
22.7Attack37.5
36.4Defence54.2
25.8Form37.5
29.9Power45.5
0.68xG1.36