Chicovs
Fortaleza FC
SCHEDULEDColombia · Primera A · 8/26/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fortaleza FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Chico are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Fortaleza FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza FC hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (30.2 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.5% in the Primera A, while Fortaleza FC holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fortaleza FC
Probability
53.2%
Model confidence
16.5%
Fortaleza FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80