Chicovs
Deportivo Pasto
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 9/25/2026, 11:10:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Pasto · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Chico 0-1 Deportivo Pasto, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Chico 3-0 Deportivo Pasto
Original prediction
Deportivo Pasto
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.55 | 36.2% | 30.1% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.96 | 31.1% | 30.5% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 32.6% | 39.4% | 6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.8 pts
Projected Score
Chico 0–1 Deportivo Pasto
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Pasto
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Deportivo Pasto has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60