Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chico · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chico 0-1 Cucuta
Original prediction
Chico
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 12:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 46.6% | 35.9% | -10.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 29.1% | 29.8% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.79 | 24.4% | 34.2% | 9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Chico
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
Chico has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ChicoDWLLW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
CucutaWWLLD
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
ChicoCucuta
27.8Attack39.8
44.4Defence41.9
32.2Form33.3
36.0Power40.3
1.03xG1.22