Chicovs
Alianza Valledupar
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 9/16/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chico · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Chico 0-0 Alianza Valledupar, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Chico 1-2 Alianza Valledupar
Original prediction
Chico
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 49.9% | 41.4% | -8.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.8% | 30.6% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 4.36 | 21.3% | 28.0% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.5 pts
Projected Score
Chico 0–0 Alianza Valledupar
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Chico
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Chico has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ChicoWWDDL
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Alianza ValleduparWLLLL
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
ChicoAlianza Valledupar
26.9Attack23.5
42.3Defence48.1
32.1Form27.2
35.1Power35.7
0.90xG0.76