Chertsey Townvs
Chippenham Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chertsey Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chertsey Town 2-2 Chippenham Town
Original prediction
Chertsey Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.53 | 59.3% | 63.9% | 4.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.21 | 21.6% | 19.3% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 4.74 | 19.1% | 16.8% | -2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.21 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–09%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Chertsey Town
Probability
63.9%
Model confidence
63.9%
Chertsey Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60