Cariari Pococivs
Santa Ana
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/2/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cariari Pococi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cariari Pococi 1-2 Santa Ana
Original prediction
Cariari Pococi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 41.7% | 41.2% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.0% | 28.1% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.87 | 31.3% | 30.8% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Cariari Pococi
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Cariari Pococi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20