Cariari Pococivs
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/24/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cariari Pococi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cariari Pococi 2-1 Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
Original prediction
Cariari Pococi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 43.9% | 36.9% | -7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.8% | 28.2% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.98 | 30.3% | 34.9% | 4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Cariari Pococi
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Cariari Pococi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80