Cariari Pococivs
CS Uruguay
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/29/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cariari Pococi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Cariari Pococi 1-0 CS Uruguay, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Cariari Pococi 1-1 CS Uruguay
Original prediction
Cariari Pococi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 54.1% | 52.2% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 24.9% | 26.7% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 4.23 | 21.1% | 21.2% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.58 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.9 pts
Projected Score
Cariari Pococi 1–0 CS Uruguay
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Cariari Pococi
Probability
52.2%
Model confidence
52.2%
Cariari Pococi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00