Cariari Pococivs
Aserri FC
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/25/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Cariari Pococi 0-0 Aserri FC, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
Cariari Pococi 2-1 Aserri FC
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 47.6% | 36.7% | -10.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.0% | 31.9% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 3.52 | 25.4% | 31.3% | 6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.9 pts
Projected Score
Cariari Pococi 0–0 Aserri FC
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.9%
Model confidence
36.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Cariari PocociLWLLD
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Aserri FCLDWDD
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Cariari PocociAserri FC
27.8Attack42.4
69.4Defence59.1
38.9Form50.0
48.3Power53.2
0.72xG0.73