Cariari Pococivs
AD Carmelita
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/13/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cariari Pococi · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cariari Pococi 1-1 AD Carmelita
Original prediction
Cariari Pococi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 42.2% | 38.7% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 27.8% | 28.1% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.97 | 30.1% | 33.1% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.22 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Cariari Pococi
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Cariari Pococi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60