Bucaramangavs
Internacional de Bogota
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 9/20/2026, 9:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bucaramanga · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bucaramanga 2-0 Internacional de Bogota
Original prediction
Bucaramanga
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 55.7% | 58.0% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 26.0% | 23.5% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 5.07 | 18.3% | 18.4% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Bucaramanga
Probability
58.0%
Model confidence
58.0%
Bucaramanga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60